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A Model Predicting Prime Time Games in 2021 NFL Season

Using an Advanced Monte Carlo simulation, I predict the winners from prime time games in every week of the NFL Season.

SportsTastic Model Summary

  • Overall Accuracy: 64%

  • Winners Predicted Correctly: 35/55

  • Current Overall Record: 35-20

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My goal is to accurately predict 70% of the 2021-2022 NFL season prime time games through a detailed analysis of the most important position group battles in any given week in the NFL.  I spent the summer of 2021 creating this model, and I give a detailed overview of the goals of my model.

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Top 5 Biggest Margins in Win % - Week 1

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  1. San Francisco 49ers vs Detroit Lions, Favored: 49ers

  2. Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Favored: Buccaneers

  3. Arizona Cardinals vs Tennessee Titans, Favored: Cardinals

  4. Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams, Favored: Rams

  5. Baltimore vs Las Vegas Raiders, Favored: Ravens

The Sports-Tastic model has predicted that the San Francisco 49ers have the highest chance of winning this week out of any team. They have a projected 63% chance to win their matchup against the Detroit Lions.

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